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Hormuz, Red Sea, and the New Oil Risk Premium: What Middle East Escalation Means for Crude, Diesel, Gasoline, and Gas Prices
For petroleum markets, “Middle East risk” is not a headline—it’s a transmission mechanism. When conflict intensifies around the Persian Gulf and its maritime chokepoints, prices don’t move only on barrels lost; they move on barrels that might not move, ships that won’t sail, and insurance that won’t clear.
Mar 56 min read


Winners and Losers in Oil: How the Middle East Conflict Is Rewiring Global Crude and Refined Product Supply
The escalation of conflict involving Iran and its neighbors has turned the Strait of Hormuz into a high‑risk chokepoint for global energy flows, with up to 15 million b/d of Gulf crude and products potentially at risk of disruption. Oil prices have already jumped sharply, with Brent moving from the low‑70s to well above 80–90 USD/bbl in early March, while European gas and LNG benchmarks have spiked on fears over Qatari exports.
Mar 410 min read


Global Oil and Gas Highways: Pipelines, Sea Lanes, Chokepoints and War's Rerouting
Crude oil, refined products and LNG reach global markets through a complex network of pipelines, tanker routes and strategic chokepoints. This article maps the world's primary energy transport corridors, their capacities, vulnerabilities and trading implications. Understanding how barrels and cargoes move—or get rerouted—directly impacts spreads, cracks and compliance strategies in today's sanctioned, volatile markets.
Feb 125 min read
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